Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 5.777954e-05 0.000067 0.000078 0.000089 0.000102 0.000116 0.000131
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.490643e-05 0.000057 0.000071 0.000088 0.000107 0.000129 0.000154
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.686153e-05 0.000051 0.000067 0.000088 0.000113 0.000142 0.000177
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.012470e-05 0.000045 0.000063 0.000087 0.000116 0.000151 0.000194
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.498907e-05 0.000040 0.000059 0.000086 0.000119 0.000159 0.000211
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.069464e-05 0.000036 0.000056 0.000084 0.000121 0.000166 0.000225
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.678737e-05 0.000031 0.000052 0.000081 0.000120 0.000170 0.000236
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.335853e-05 0.000027 0.000047 0.000077 0.000119 0.000172 0.000244
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.091673e-05 0.000024 0.000044 0.000075 0.000119 0.000176 0.000255
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.004839e-05 0.000023 0.000045 0.000078 0.000126 0.000189 0.000277
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.693939e-06 0.000022 0.000043 0.000078 0.000129 0.000197 0.000292
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.522550e-06 0.000022 0.000045 0.000083 0.000139 0.000215 0.000321
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.590382e-06 0.000019 0.000042 0.000081 0.000139 0.000221 0.000336
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.069702e-06 0.000017 0.000039 0.000079 0.000140 0.000227 0.000352
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.067327e-06 0.000015 0.000038 0.000079 0.000144 0.000237 0.000374
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.106043e-06 0.000013 0.000035 0.000077 0.000145 0.000244 0.000391
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.363768e-06 0.000012 0.000033 0.000076 0.000147 0.000252 0.000408
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.742769e-06 0.000010 0.000031 0.000074 0.000148 0.000258 0.000424
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.195271e-06 0.000009 0.000029 0.000072 0.000147 0.000261 0.000436
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 7.582188e-07 0.000007 0.000026 0.000068 0.000144 0.000262 0.000444
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 4.914488e-07 0.000006 0.000024 0.000066 0.000144 0.000266 0.000456
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 4.168179e-07 0.000006 0.000025 0.000069 0.000151 0.000282 0.000487
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.957073e-07 0.000005 0.000024 0.000069 0.000154 0.000291 0.000507